Tyson - Yellow
Sierra - Green
Erinn - Red
Coach - Blue
Stephen - Orange
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Kitty Pryde1 |
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My prediction was:
Tyson - Yellow Sierra - Green Erinn - Red Coach - Blue Stephen - Orange |
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Warrior |
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Kitty Pryde1 wrote:Coach? |
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Brazil Luvs Ami |
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I think blue is JT or Spencer...
ETA: and red is Jerry. The other colors I agree with KP |
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BlakeB717 |
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AH! Sorry, I know this is late, I've been really busy and was hoping gf would have his post up about his Coach close call (he said he's undecided,
which would mean flf has OTT and I have MOR, meaning there is no decision)
from gff: 1) BEN But no need to fear, I just did my, like, fourth rewatch and... COACH OTT Sorry about being so late with my change, Warrior. "That man has a bigger ego than Brazil, and that will be the death of him!"
Last Edited By: BlakeB717
02/26/09 4:18 PM.
Edited 2 times.
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9RedWing19 |
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astroline wrote: Not to pick on Astroline in particular, but those of us that agreed with the ratings (eg myself Candace OTT, Coach MOR, Tyson MOR) may not be prepared to get into an interminable debate - if the consensus agreed with us, then it's over and done and let's move on. Yeah, I thought Erinn was MOR too, but I don't have an expectation that everyone will agree with me on every rating. Having participated in the Tyson Ep 1 tone "debate", it's not something that I would be prepared to do every week. But I wouldn't want the vocal minority to think that silence is acquiescence. |
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guatemala fanfic |
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BlakeB717 wrote: Yes, and unfortunately, I didn't have a chance to re-watch. Having class until 9:00 at night on Wednesdays is going to be a problem for Close Calls. I'll have to do my best to address them on Tuesdays from now on. But as I said, OTT was my original rating and then I decided on MOR. I honestly can see either, and unlike Candace's, I *don't* have a strong opinion either way on Coach. For me, it depends on how much weight we want to give that one "licking" scene because I think his edit had a few more little layers to it than that. But I do understand the simplification in terms of the licking, the arrogance, the ego, performing poorly in the challenge while preaching about getting rid of the weak. I was surprised at the uproar of OTT, and if you (Blake) decide that OTT is better, then I am happy to go along with it. |
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guatemala fanfic |
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Just as an aside, I'm going to make a prediction that tonight's recap will simplify Candace as a negative force on Timbira as the reason for her being
voted out. I could definitely be wrong, but if not, this will suggest that the intent was OTT to me.
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gretchensucks |
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My prediction...the recap will say that she messed with the wrong guy, Coach.
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guatemala fanfic |
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My prediction...the recap will say that she messed with the wrong guy, Coach. Well, yes, I agree with that as well. That is why he targeted her and it will say that Coach got rid of the poison apple from the tribe, or something along those lines. |
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Phoenix1269 |
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guatemala fanfic wrote:I agree with this statement.... I too am surprised at the uproar! my apologies for opening THAT can of worms! I do see the case for an OTT if so much weight is given to one scene. I think this is a good case of how people can see things so differently based upon their personal experiences, etc. BTW GreenCoffee and ScepticA - i agree with your criticism of my post that it was too compartmentalized and not big picture enough. Admittedly i do compartmentalize a lot, and i will try to be more mindful in the future. -- I also with RedWing re this... "Having participated in the Tyson Ep 1 tone "debate", it's not something that I would be prepared to do every week. But I wouldn't want the vocal minority to think that silence is acquiescence. " ( the last couple of days have been busier for me than things have been for a while... sorry for posting then disappearing) -- Lastly OTH - regarding your question about the "middle position" on the MOR Diff (it is actually MOR - Middle of Range)... I noticed that 4 of the last 8 winners occurred just above or just below the actual MIDDLE POSITION (ie 8 out of 16 or whatever)... sometimes this position lines up to the mathematical midpoint, but sometimes it doesn't. So i included it more for interest sake than anything else. Here is the link to my MOR Diff Final Analysis if you are interested...Mor Diff Analysis eta spelling eta...apparently i need more sleep, my typing has been atrocious
Last Edited By: Phoenix1269
02/26/09 5:29 PM.
Edited 1 times.
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OnlyTheHunter |
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my typing has been atrocious You're in my club, Phoenix. Look for your certificate in the mail. Mlhieac |
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fat little fingers |
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gf and Phoenix, it's not a can of worms, but it is a healthy argument. :)
Candace is a character that went up like a match. Zero in ep1 and the ka- blooey in Ep2. Total OTT tool. Coach has got more legs to his story, but to see him as more nuanced (CP) or as an insignificant holding-pattern MOR just doesn't work. In the recap. I'm curious as to how Sierra's part in the boot is framed. It will tell us a lot about her chances of survival, at least in the pre-merge. |
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ncassaro |
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Kitty Pryde1 wrote:Definitely true! I certainly consult Warrior's chart, but it doesn't take into account things like challenges and reaction shots and just "feel." I don't see how Joe was as big a part of this episode as Erinn was. |
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taks |
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It will definitely be interesting to see how Sierra is portrayed (if at all) in the recap, considering how removed she was from pre-TC discussion, despite
being a potential boot. While I have her high on my winners list right now, if she doesn't cool off near her first opportunity (such as when her tribe
doesn't go to tribal council and she's not incorporated in a twist or exile) then I'm gonna have to re-evaulate her.
I use Warrior's visibility chart mainly to see the number of sentences/confessionals different people got. If someone gets 3 confessionals and I've given them a 2 visibility, I have to re-watch to see if I just totally missed something the first time through. |
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cindidindi76 |
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Personally, I thought Coach was way OTT, and was kind of surprised to see so many people not think so. There's only been 2 episodes so far, but after both
i thought a couple ratings were pretty clear cut, only to come here and be like "Whuuuu...?"
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Katy Carney |
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I thought he was very obviously OTT as well. Especially given Tyson and Candace's OTT ratings.
OTT is a strange category to me anyway. A lot of the times I see ratings and wonder if one can truly differentiate between an OTT personality and OTT edit.
Last Edited By: Katy Carney
02/26/09 6:13 PM.
Edited 1 times.
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Green Coffee |
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Kitty Pryde1 wrote:Agreed. astroline:Give me one good reason why that's a problem. Why do we do Edgic? To determine a winner. How do we do that? We look at the overall nature of the contenders' edits. How do we keep all of that straight? We do ratings on individual episodes to keep track of data. Data on players that have officially lost this season does not help us in the least bit in terms of determining who wins. Because the edit we are discussing only refers to boot episodes, this information also does not aid us in determining who losing players are (unless pegging a loser DURING the episode based on analysis of mounds of data is a priority for some people). As I have acknowledged, the whole thing is fun for people who like to rate and debate. It's also a sort of "practice" for rating other players correctly. However, neither of these is so major that it could be termed a "problem" that some people don't care that much (really, 100s of ratings are done a year on viable players so who needs practice now?). Collecting data is fun if you have tenure, but unless you do, you should work on your publications, so to speak. Edgic is not so well respected and powerful that it has nothing better to do than debate tone on a player that won't win anyway. The priority should be on enhancing the ability to pick a winner, IMO. taks:Again, I second this. Where's the evidence that Taj's edit was P and not just that a general viewer P reaction existed? KP1: That's not a problem, IMO. That's progress. Edgic has devised a way to take an editing construct and turn it into OBJECTIVE data. In the collection of data, objectivity is a GOOD thing. If we just go by our own impressions and feelings, we introduce unneeded noise into the data. My favorite character this season is Jerry. I hope he wins. I also like Sierra, Tyson, and Brenden. I hate Coach. The rest of them are just sorta "bleh" to me. When I watch the show, I do it in large part because I enjoy the show. I like seeing my favorites on screen and want to boo the ones I hate. Thus, when they come on, my natural reaction as a viewer is to look closely and listen. I then process all of those ideas and integrate them into my opinions about the character. For the rest of them? From my standpoint who cares? So Sydney is talking about food... who cares? Stephen made a friend? Okey dokie, I guess. Woah woah Spencer is gonna blindside someone at next TC!? THIS I gotta care about! Hypothetical ratings based entirely on my thoughts as I watch: Jerry, Sierra, Tyson, Brenden, Coach: 5 Sydney: 2 Stephen: 3 Spencer: 4 Everyone else: 0 Does anyone rate THAT way? No. However, these implicit biases in the way we watch TV shows necessarily creep into our ratings. People might rate the ones they like/hate higher in visibility than is deserved and the ones they don't care about lower than is deserved. Imagine the hypothetical Joe fanatic after last episode: 2 seems much more reasonable. What we get is objective data + variance due to personal attentional biases. Now, if we had a large, representative sample of Survivor viewers do this exercise, I would agree that variance based on personal viewer reaction would be inconsequential in the measurement (or at least less important) due to the sample size. However, because we are a small and unrepresentative group, the goal should be to eliminate this variance from the data in any way possible. KP1: I ask this question myself. Why not? You have an objective measurement of visibility, so why introduce variance? Why take unbiased data and allow noise into the equation? This is not to say the objective measure is perfect (which is why Visibility voting is still somewhat needed). Ideally, I see Visibility as composed of: Speaking time Screen time Second-person visibility (including that from Jeff) Currently, the only thing that really gets measured is speaking time. I think SPV is something that COULD be worked in and I will continue to suggest it until I am told definitively to STFU and given the reason why it isn't, or until people agree (as an aside: the word visibility is part of the term! Why NOT count it!?). Screen time is the bigger issue. This is often suggested as a reason for why people deserve more visibility than they get. However, because these things are NEVER quantified objectively, I feel like these suggestions are especially prone to attentional biases. Was anybody watching for the amount of non-speaking screen time that Joe got last week? Did anyone compare it directly and objectively to other players' non-speaking screen time? Hell no. So why is it that we can argue for the use of non-speaking screen time for calcualting the visibility of ONE player (usually being pushed as a winner candidate), but never even consider it with another? By doing that, visibility is being calculated differently for different players. Doing that makes visibility not only unobjective but also INCONSISTENT. That weakens the whole visibility construct. Overall impressions and character development? I think that stuff belongs in the "Rating" rating. People will disagree, but personally I like clearly defined lines. A person with low impact as a character is UTR, not necessarily 1. All of that said, I use Warrior's chart exclusively. Could it be more accurate? Sure. Will it ever be perfect? No. However, from a statistical standpoint, I think should be the standard and can't argue against it. ------------------------ Edited to add: Official ratings: Debbie - UTR2 Erinn - UTR2 Jerry - UTR2 Joe - UTR2 Sandy - UTR2 WOW! Five toneless, 2 vis, primarily undeveloped characters according to the chart. I didn't get that feeling as watching the episode at all, myself. Did anyone actually vote this way for all 5 characters or was there a lot of variance for each that centered on this oddly coincidental setup?
Last Edited By: Green Coffee
02/26/09 6:33 PM.
Edited 1 times.
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BlakeB717 |
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NOTE: The order in the intro was shifted-- somehow Sierra is last now. Manipulation? |
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indiekid26 |
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Candace OTTN5 seriously? Seriously??
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guatemala fanfic |
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Just so there's no need for arguing, that scene was OTT for Coach, IMO.
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