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Jonathan and Candice were together, correct? As were Yul and Becky. If Sundra was really supposed to flip sides with Candice, do you think she'd stick with Yul and Becky over the other two? Come on. Two people don't control a tribe. Especially when the other three are close.

Except like craig said, Sundra chose Yul/Becky when she didn't mutiny. Not only that, but Sundra didn't trust Jonathan in the least. Even Candice didn't trust Jonathan and was ready to dump him. Ozzy and Jonathan would have been the next two out of Aitu, there's no doubt about that.

What about Yul getting lucky with the mutiny? That was a huge reason why he made it to the end. If there's no mutiny, let's say Aitu wins the next two challenges, and there really is a double boot. That would be the best case scenario for them, and they are up in numbers 6-3 at the merge. Guess what? Candice and Jonathan now would flip, and Yul would be fucked with no time to bring Jonathan back. Also, say they lose a challenge, Ozzy would go. They lose another, Becky leaves. And if there really was a bottle twist, Yul leaves in 10th due to Sundra and Candice's relationship.

You're right, the mutiny was lucky (and unlucky for Candice). But at the same time, if Yul got wind of Jonathan flipping (which he was fairly perceptive, Candice was just too good for him to see through), then there was still time to change his mind. It would have been harder, but not impossible for Yul to take the majority so to say with 100% certainty that he would have been screwed is untrue. Like I said, Ozzy/Jonathan are gone. But Yul was the winning factor in the first challenge after the mutiny, and they won the second one. Challenges are a part of the game, and while I do take away some credit for a winner who needs challenges, the fact is at the team portion of the game there is still a roughly 50/50 chance of winning which is relatively high.

Also, off topic, but let me just say how I LOVE that Timbira and Jalapao are so even challenge wise. It makes for interesting challenges. Especially after the run that was Kota, NuAirai, Fei Long, Moto, NuAitu, NuCasaya, etc.

Yau could outplay Earl, but the fact of the matter is that he didn't. He gave Dreamz the car, and as a result, he put a massive target on his back. I will also use the same argument I'd use against Amanda in Micronesia. Yes, Yau had the idol, so technically, he recieved 0 votes at the final 6, but as far as I'm concerned, he was voted out.

Yau already had a target on his back because of the idol that Alex/Mookie revealed he had. And to say that Amanda/Yau were voted out is short-sighted, since with Amanda, Cirie would have forced a tie and Amanda would have been safe, and Yau may not have had such a target on his back without the idol. No idol, there's a strong chance they do not get voted out in the first place. Yau recognized his precarious position and took a gamble ... which wasn't such a bad gamble, it only looks bad in hindsight. But who could have guessed that Dreamz (someone who appreciates the small things because he's been through rough times) would repay him back with a vote off? Its not logical to think that way, and so if Yau has Dreamz in addition to Earl and the idol ... that is some good security.

That is why I rank Yau above Earl ... Earl outplayed Yau, yes, but because he clicked better, but his game was superficial and ended there. Yau was a much better thinker and could outmanouver Earl strategically, any day of the week. With social refining, he'd beat Earl at the game every time.