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BOB: In order to win, he has to win every single immunity challenge (or manage to convince somebody to do something really, really stupid and keep him in). Neither is impossible, but it's not looking likely. He probably has the jury in his pocket provided he can explain away why he gave the fake idol to Randy.

MATTY: In order to win, he needs to not be taken out before the final and needs to not face Bob. He will almost certainly win if he makes it to the end, because with jurors that are going to be as vindictive and vitriolic as Randy and Corinne are going to be, not having any blood on your hands and not having any jurors actively hating you is going to be a major advantage, because I think that, even though I'm not convinced Matty is that strong of a player, the fact that nobody hates him makes him a huge, HUGE threat in the endgame. And if he gets his chosen F3 of himself, Susie, and Sugar, he wins unanimously for showing up… even less suspense than the Earl/Dreamz/Cassandra finale of a few years ago. If he has to face one of Crystal or Kenny, he'll win easily, but probably not unanimously.

KENNY: He's our decoy winner, but I feel like the editing these past few episodes has been "How Kenny, the mastermind, blew it completely." It's not unlike the edits Rafe and Cesternino received. I think that, even though he has Corinne potentially in his pocket, he's not going to be as loved by the jury as he wants to believe. Or, alternately, we could be getting set up for a Crystal upset of Kenny or a Matty immunity run that ends in him having to face the one player he has no chance in hell against. I think the little side deal with Bob and Corinne might help with the jury but conversely will hurt his chances of even having the opportunity to face the jury.

CRYSTAL: How can she win? Simple. Sugar and Susie need to be smart enough to know who their best chance is in the final three, because, let's face it, they need all the help they can get. They take Matty, and in all likelihood, he sweeps the votes. They take Kenny, and he can outtalk them and wins by a lot. But Crystal has a temper… best case scenario for her is for Kenny to be voted off by the other three at F5, and then team up with the girls to take Matty out. Sticking with Kenny, she probably won't win… he's a weasel, but she can be kind of a bitch at times and is brutally honest. At the same time, though, up against Susie and Sugar, she's quite easily going to be the least of three evils amongst the opinions of those Onion folks, probably even Randy, and she's played a heckuva game. Up against Kenny, I kind of suspect she might be close to having enough votes to beat him but I'm not that confident she can outtalk him.

SUGAR: I feel like the edit is showing us that the alliances are Matty/Susie and Crystal/Ken, with Sugar in the middle, which means that the final three will probably be one of each pair along with Sugar. More than anyone, Sugar has control over what happens in the endgame, and she is savvy enough to know that facing Kenny or Matty would be stupid. Unless, of course, she figures she has no chance of winning anyhow and wants to help Matty along, but I think she's in it until the end. She needs the two women in the final with her to maximize her chances, which, let's face it, are virtually non-existent, and she has even stated in the CBS.com footage that she feels Crystal is someone she might have a chance against with the jury. None of the jurors are going to be willing to admit she outsmarted them, and they will take it out on her Lil-style. Best case scenario: she picks up a random friendship vote from someone like Matty. Most likely, she just gets yelled at and receives no votes.

SUSIE: I think she's along for the ride. She may make the F3 as a non-threat, but is no real threat to win. Her only real chance is for a twist with only a F2 facing the jury and she gets to face Sugar because I suspect Randy and Corinne hate her slightly less. Nobody on the jury will have any actual reason to want to vote for her, but maybe they might berate her less than they plan to berate Sugar. I guess the one question is will she stay loyal or will she cut Matty loose at the end? She needs to cut Matty loose if she wants any chance at all. Best chances: take Crystal and Sugar. The jury despises Sugar and Crystal, at least, is mouthy enough to potentially alienate some jurors.

THE JURY: Charlie's question is going to demand the finalists explain why Marcus is more deserving of the million than them, because, as we all know, Charlie's game plan was to take Marcus to the final and lose to him, hoping that this will result in Marcus switching teams in gratitude. Bob will probably be a class act. Marcus will be smarmy but will be way less annoying than most of his alliance mates. Randy and Corinne will act like the sociopathic jackasses they are, desperately trying to draw attention to themselves and take their frustration at not making the finals (and subsequently losing 7-0 to one of Marcus, Charlie, or Bob) out on a) Sugar, b) Susie, c) Crystal, d) the Universe in general. On the bright side, I imagine Crystal and Sugar will fight fire with fire.