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I sense that this season is going to go the way of the tribes in Palau, which is to say complete annihilation. Maybe if there's a timely switch or a lucky IC, Kota might get to dump one or two of the lowest on the totem pole and two or three members of Fang might get to be jurors, but I don't see that as likely. Oh, a man clearly wins this, probably a man on Kota, as none of the women on Kota got an edit that's even remotely memorable and I can't fathom Crystal or Susie still being around in the endgame.

Kota:

Marcus: May I just say, I am glad that Survivor does not air on ABC, because otherwise we'd have to deal with insufferable promos where Marcus gets called Dr. McDreamy, probably voiced over by a fawning Charlie. That being said, well played. I think he's in a good position in his alliance: he'll be able to play the Corinne/Jacque pair against Charlie, and I do not worry about them having to attend too many tribal councils.

Charlie: Dude. STOP scribbling Marcus's name all over your social studies notes circled in hearts like you're a seventh grade girl. I think he has instincts for the game and can play well but he's going to have to not be mesmerized by Marcus.

Ace: That opening intro... so arrogant, but so confident... gotta say, it reminded me SO MUCH of the edit that Richard Hatch got that it gave me pause. It seems unlikely that he'd win it all, but just that story arc makes me wonder if maybe it isn't possible.

Bob: The kind of guy you love to have around camp and then blindside the hell out of right after the merge because you're toast against him in the final.

Corinne and Jacque: I think they're in the right alliance and are making the right moves.

Other Women on Kota: Yeah, I got nothing. Actually, I had to look up what the name of the one that wasn't Sugar or Paloma was. (Kelly, apparently.)

Tribe of the Damned: Although I feel that they're getting a better handle on the camp life aspect of the game, I also feel that this tribe is too paranoid and too wanting to maintain the status quo for any functional alliances to occur. They're all sticking together, voting as one, and not sticking their necks out...not out of unity so much as I feel that nobody wants to draw attention to themselves. I see this tribe being run into the ground. No alliance from this tribe will win; however, one individual player might be able to slip through the cracks and infiltrate in a Vecepia or Danni-like fashion.

Randy: I like his completely pragmatic and cynical view of the game. I do think that he's right in his assessment this is a tribe full of bickering individuals that will not function together as an alliance, so the better odds lie with trying to lay low until a swap or the merge and trying to infiltrate an alliance on the other tribe.

GC: I don't think he was wrong in thinking that a leader was being set up as a scapegoat for the tribe's failures.... sort of like being named captain of the Titanic. That being said, as an individual player, he seems to be one of the more useful and functional members.

Dan: Yeah, I think he'd better actually find that idol, because this tribe seems dumb enough to vote him out of paranoia rather than keeping strength.

Ken: I think that on paper, he could be a smart and strategic player. Problem is, I see him as low on the social totem pole, and this tribe appears to be hemorrhaging. If he can get the right alliance together, he could do well, but I'm not convinced that will happen.

Crystal: I think she's one of the smartest and strongest players. I actually think she has a better chance of being a silent leader of this group if she so chooses.

Matty and Susie: Not much to say.

Gillian: So here's the problem. I think that she's to blame for a poor decision, namely to try and pick a tribe that she would fit better with SOCIALLY than one that would be able to win a challenge. I know she didn't want to be the expendable token over-50 stuck on a tribe of twenty-somethings, but the fact that she chose Susie (and Susie picked Crystal) could have been even more disastrous if Ace hadn't picked Sugar... incredibly, Kota could have been even more stacked strengthwise than it already is.

Michelle: Yeah, she was on the wrong tribe.