moviegirl11 wrote:
anders332 wrote:Well just in response to what you said earlier about being sure Memphis would take Jerry, here's how I see it going down from Memphis' perspective:
moviegirl11 wrote:See now that's where I'm not sure - if it is a Jerry/Memphis F2
How could he win against Jerry. From Memphis' perspective, how do you think the votes would play out if it came down to Memphis vs. Jerry?
Dan - M
Keesha - J
Renny - 50/50
Ollie - M
April - M
Michelle - 50/50
Libra - 50/50
But then I wonder about the pity/spite vote and the fact that Memphis already has the Camaro, that's why I have the 50/50s (and I really want to rate Opril this way) - I think they really could go either way. Personally, Memphis is the better player/gamer and should win, but the 75 yo ex-marine grandfather could win.
And this is not exceptable to me.......I truly hope the Renegades go to the end and M remains faithful to D.
In a Jerry/Memphis scenario:
April - J
Ollie - J
Michelle - J
Keesha - J
Libra - ?
Dan - ? (probably M)
Renny - M
Off the bat, three of the people on the jury were in an alliance with Jerry and tried to get Memphis out. One person on the Jury swore she wouldn't give Memphis her vote. That's four votes against him. He'd have to hope he could swing at least one of them to ensure a win. If not he loses to JERRY. I dont see him stabbing Dan in the back and taking jerry to the end unless he thinks the odds are beating Jerry are seriously high. No way should Memphis feel secure enough next to Jerry to bring him to the end.
Dan and Memphis in the final two (From Memphis' perspective)
April - toss up (probably Memphis)
Ollie - M (probably wanting to pay Dan back for playing him for a fool)
Libra - toss up (probably Dan)
Keesha - D
Renny - D (She never cared for Memphis)
Jerry - M (unless Memphis wins the final HoH part and evicts Jerry but I think M will throw it to D if it comes down to those 2)
Michelle - M (he doesnt know about the beach)
Memphis has more than a chance of winning next to Dan. He has virtually no chance of winning next to Jerry.
ETA: Re: Dan campaigning for Memphis to win. That would be the case if Jerry won the final HoH and evicted Dan BUT after the way Keesha left, there's no way Memphis will hope that he could evict Dan himself and hope that Dan would campaign for him on the jury.
I think you're underestimating how much this house hates Jerry. No one liked him in the house (even O/J/M) who complained about him just as much as Renny. I can't see any of them giving Jerry anything, except maybe Michelle. And not to mention, April said right before she was evicted that she wanted Memphis to win.

















