Never too early to start the guessing on who will vote for whom in a couple of weeks -- most people think that Dan can make it to the end but that he can't win, given that he just seemingly went out of his way to piss off three jury votes in a needlessly complicated HOH week. I somewhat disagree.
Michelle is pissed at Dan, and in her mind rightfully so, because she is being "backdoored" (though that term now means about five different things, six if counting Ollie and April), but once in the jury house, I think she'll calm down because he didn't mean her specifically any ill will. She was basically his only replacement choice, and Ollie told her that Dan didn't want Memphis to use the veto in the first place.
Ollie, of course, hates Dan more than he hates using condoms, but again, will he hold on to that hate for two more weeks? If he really has any moral convictions at all, I can see him eventually giving Dan a vote; if he is indeed the tool I suspect he is, he will relish his chance to fuck Dan over in a hissyfit of useless karma.
That leaves Jerry. Again, what went down this week didn't really do anything to Jerry per se -- in fact, he should be glad he wasn't the replacement nom -- but he's still extremely butt-hurt from things that happened weeks ago, proving he can carry a grudge to the ends of the Earth. I suspect in the end he will not vote for Dan over some trumped up issue of honor, no matter what.
So I say he has lost Jerry, but Dan already had before this week. He has probably lost Ollie, but I suspect that would have happened anyway, but for some other reason. Michelle could go either way, but I think she would vote for Dan.
The random factor, of course, is what being under the influence of April and Libra will do to these people. April will, of course, have a lot of effect on Ollie's eventual vote, in the same way that Libra will probably influence Michelle a little bit.

















