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Thanks peeps, but it is also gems like this that get posted in the feed discussion thread that helps to synthesize all this as it unfolds. I have been an uber Garbo fan for a really long time. She posted this today and it is an excellent summary of how Dan turned lemons into lemonade after he squirmed his way into HOH in the endurance comp (and he was squirming a lot right before Ollie fell).

Garbotalk wrote:

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I was thinking about the way Dan is playing this week, rallying his team. He's acting just like a coach, giving each player a task to complete for their common goal of winning the game. Before this week, the team of D/M/K/R was Dan's goal, but not really solidified. Memphis considered Michelle in play. Renny considered Ollie in play. Keesha considered Jerry in play. By forcing them all to work together toward evicting one of the satellite players, he's basically forcing them to draw the lines on the teams. He could have easily put up Michelle and Jerry to begin with, and backdoored Ollie if either was taken down, avoiding any confrontations with his own team. But I think he wanted Memphis to work for it, and Renny to have to play ball to show loyalty. We'll see if his "Coach Dan" method helps or hurts his game.


Anyway, this is a really good synopsis of Dan's HOH so far. Kudos to Garbo. :)

OK, lots of waiting around this morning prior to the veto. Ollie was not picked to play, not that I think it mattered because the POV game involved puzzles. Ollie has to be one of the most IQ challenged BB contestants ever. I think Amber BB8 might be brighter than Ollie. BB must go out of their way to IQ test these fame whores and they pick on really DUMB person each year. Ollie fits many of their niches for BB, he is half of a showmance, and he is one of the dumb ones on the show.

Apparently, based on what conversation I did hear after the 3+ hours POV game, they might have had "heats" in this contest. Dan, Keesha and Michelle played each other. Keesha apparently waxed these two in her heat. Michelle's excuse for losing is she dropped some pieces. There was some "flying in the air" involved in this, so I am not sure if pieces are dropped, if they are even within reaching distance to get on the puzzle board. Memphis mentioned that the pieces were hard to move once they got on the board. Obviously, that left Memphis competing with Jerry and Renny. Since they had to propel themselves in the air along a wire somehow, Memphis obviously had some strength advantage in his heat. Keesha felt she had an advantage over Michelle in propelling through the air. She mentioned that outside to Dan and Memphis.

I think there might have been a faceoff between Keesha and Memphis at the end, and obviously Keesha had no motive to try to win that one. So once the heats were out of the way, Memphis was as good as gold for this POV win. Obviously he will play it. I also think he appeared kind of excited that he won a contest on the show. He looked really happy after the feeds came back up and I think it was more than just the "whew, I can get myself off the block" kind of happy. So I am no longer going to complain that he hasn't worked a whit to win the 500K on this show.

Dan used this HOH and this "deal" wil Ollie to try to pull together 4 reluctant people to forge a final 4 deal. However, Memphis and Renny still have a deeply embedded distrust of each other. They don't appear to want to shake on the deal. Now that Memphis is going to be off the block, Dan is losing his chance to really shore up his vision of this F4 alliance.

Michelle has some street smarts. She realizes that Dan is avoiding her. He did that for the last 2 days before Jessie got voted out. So she has figured out she is going up in Memphis' place on the block. She and Ollie talked about it and from what I read in the live feed reports (I turned off my feeds early this evening and watched regular tv, surfed the net, etc, like a normal person instead of a BB feed addict tard ), she was able to persuade Ollie to not be complacent that the 3rd phase of this "deal" is going to be honored.

Ollie and Dan had some conversation up in the HOH. It is worth going to page 5 of the live feed reports stickied at the top because some great cappers posted the conversation there for us. Essentially, Ollie said that because Memphis is taking himself off, Ollie wants to be able to name Keesha to go up. Dan prevaricated and so Ollie said, "fine, then not only do I want you to put up Renny, because you are not honoring my first request for Keesha, then you have to break the tie and keep Jerry in the game". So Ollie is trying to get Dan to forcefully evict Renny from the game. Umm, Ollie, are you really that stupid to think someone will weaken their advantage in the game that much? Yeah, I think he is. Dan tried to sidestep committing to that, but now Ollie is pretty much at least realizing that he is playing a losing hand here. Last time I saw BBAD (flipped to it during the commercials of a good movie), Michelle was crying in the bathroom. She knows.

So because we now have our unpredictable week now whittled down to a predictable pagonging, I want to change the subject here. Part of my channel surfing was going into the Comcast On Demand section of my cable service. In there, CBS has posted the past BB shows for this summer. The furthest one back still there was Keesha's nomination Sunday episode. Watching just that episode also brought some of the game into better focus for me. I definitely have let my complete repugnance of Libra to cloud everything around her in the game, and part of that cloud around her was Keesha. So I have been thinking about the game from the perspective of watching the moves she made in the game.

Week 1: Brian was orchestrating the house because he had a puppet in the hapless Jerry old guy HOH. However, he way overplayed, got caught ONLY because as we know, OLLIE outed the alliance over his need to keep the girls feeling safe for the week. Keesha was sitting next to April when Ollie spilled the beans about the alliance and the plan to backdoor Memphis when Jessie took himself off the block. Now, because the feeds were not up that week, we don't know if Memphis began to have his connection with Keesha then, or if she just bonded to him as a fellow flyover country LA transplant in the local food and beverage service industry. I dunno. However, Memphis was very comfortable crashing her HOH party as she was discussing nominations with her crew when she first made HOH.

Part of her crew included Libra. So when Keesha reported back to Libra the plan to backdoor Memphis and the secret alliance of 4 of Dan, Jerry, Brian and Steve, Libra got everyone involved in threatening Jerry with his life in the game if he followed through with that POV replacement. So Keesha was a very big part of that week, AND also early on, she did a "I will watch your back if you watch my back" with Jerry.

So in her first week, she is in a solid group of 4, April, Ollie, Libra and Keesha. We had thought she was on the outside looking in, with the oreos as we called them (Ollie, April and Libra), but upon further reflection, she was the nucleus of them. Keesha is the nucleus of all of her little circles but does it in a very low key way. And in her first week, she forges an understanding with the first HOH, and becomes part of a new group of 8, because unwittingly, her 4 roped in the other hidden alliance of 4 (Jessie, Angie, Memphis and Michelle), and that is where the Memphis game plan originated. Memphis was the one to convince these 8 that Jerry, Steve and Dan had to go first because of their deal with Brian. It made for a convenient early game strategy to keep a large group safe, play the odds of the HOH wins, and skate to jury time. Renny was not part of that 8, so she was also one of the first 4 targets after Brian left, according to the Memphis roadmap of BB10 boots.

Jessie wins the 2nd week HOH, so although he wants to go after Renny, he stayed on with Memphis' game plan. This cost Jessie his game, because by then Keesha had roped Renny into her little nucleus of just Keesha and Renny, so Jessie ended up booting people that he could have roped into his alliance of 4. Memphis kept telling Angie and Jessie that they didn't need more than their 4, which was a mistake. They could have pulled in Dan and Steve in this 2nd week, and done some damage in the game. Here is where others in the game played for Memphis, rather than themselves. Guess who is still in the game, Memphis, not Jessie.

3rd week, Keesha wins HOH. She had a confessional in the episode I just watched where she said they didn't flip the vote to keep Steven because it "wasn't time" and they didn't want the other "four" to begin to come after them. I missed the significance of this the first time it aired. The four she meant was the Memphis group. Apparently Keesha was very aware of how the groups were laid out in this game. So what did Keesha do in her HOH? She decides to NOT implement Memphis' game plan as it benefitted HIS group and did nothing for HER group. Because I found Libra to be so unwatchable in this game, and Michelle didn't veto her out of the game in Jessie's HOH (again, playing for the Memphis plan), I completely missed what Keesha was doing. I thought her nominations were personal. They might have been. However, she was instinctively making some pretty impressive moves in her HOH. The way the game has played out, I just can't chalk it up to dumb luck.

Keesha roped in Jerry, Dan and Renny personally to her before she made her nominations. She let them all know they were NOT in her target and solidified a personal connection with them, at that time. So now Keesha has her original 4 loyal to her, and she roped in the 3 outsiders to be loyal to her, and then she mounted her attack on a very strong alliance of 4 that actually planned to steamroll through the game together. She blindsides the Memphis group with her plans to put up Angie and then Jessie talks himself onto the block by being to patronizing before the HOH nominations. Here is where playing passively early in the game can bite you in the ass. Probably Memphis, Michelle, and Angie threw the HOH competition. I would have to watch that episode to be sure, more than likely they did. So they are out of power after Jessie's HOH and here is where they lost their grip on the game direction.

Keesha firmly steered the BB10 game in a direction she wanted it to go. She started by taking out the periphery players around the other nucleus of the other group of 4. Therefore, although Angie was targeted probably because of cunty jealousy and revenge for Steven, it actually served to weaken Memphis' ability to re-steer the season in the direction he wanted it to go. However, Memphis is very adaptable. Obviously, based on where he is in the game now.

OK, so after Keesha's HOH is over, her ally, even if they are competing Barbie Bitch cunts, wins HOH. Her ally wisely targeted Memphis because she saw how he was good at the influencing part of the game. And because of how the group was now realigned around Keesha, Memphis' peeps were on the outs this time. So Jessie went up as a pawn, since Michelle was the last one standing in that competition with April and cut her deal for safety. Here is where the game got interesting. Up until this week, the groups always voted the way the HOH wanted to, regardless of whether it was good for their own game or not. Keesha wanted none of that, because she didn't have an influence over Jessie, but she had a connection with Memphis. At just the right time, she flipped that vote, and was able to blame it on Libra. Slick. We saw it coming and it sure enough came. Keesha has teflon coating for this game. She hasn't been blamed for anything yet. And she gained another ally with this vote flip, Memphis. Before he was a connection, but after this vote flip, she now has created a NEW group of 4 consisting of Dan, Memphis and Renny along with herself. She dumped her Oreo connection and also the remnants of the first group of 8 (Michelle, last one standing if you don't count Memphis). She now had Renny, Dan, and Memphis to surround her. Again, she is the nucleus here.

Now we get the Michelle HOH, and she immediately revenges Jessie's eviction. She nominates Libra and Keesha together. Keesha knew she wasn't going anywhere, once Libra lost the POV game. She had a skate free week while on the block. To make matters better, the allies she created when she flipped the vote and got Jessie out during April's HOH, now win HOH. Renny is now controlling the nominations. It is understood that the remnants of the house have to go. They are all threats to Keesha.

April and Ollie were supposed to go up, but Renny made it her own HOH and did some payback with the Jerry nomination and created a friend with Ollie (which was a safety net in case Ollie wins HOH the next week, of course he didn't). These nominations stand, and the barbie bitch foe of Keesha is dispatched to the jury house. New HOH endurance competition, and Keesha's ally wins an HOH and agrees to a strange deal. We all know what that deal is, but Keesha was guaranteed safety this week.

While we have been pretty much focussing on Dan and Memphis rolling through this game, Keesha has been orchestrating it more than we thought. Every single week, she has pretty much gotten threats out of the house and avoided eviction herself. She has made the pivotal moves that shifted the alliances each time.

Because we are used to the alpha males taking it to the end for the F2 win, we have been watching Dan and memphis more closely. These 2 really think that if they take Renny and Keesha to the final 4, they have it in a walk in the final competitions. I no longer think so. I think if Keesha makes it to the final 4, and the only thing now standing in her way is Ollie and Jerry ( ), Keesha could win either the HOH or F4 POV (usually the mor.ph game or the tie the season together kind of deal), and she would be good at it. She has her sidekick renny there that will vote as she votes, too.

While I really can't stand her as a person, I have to say she has played an interesting game so far. She is a vain, vapid, shallow cunt, but I have to salute her game play. I actually think she is the best gamer in the house right now. Whether she can win the jury, I don't know. However, Dan's idiotic HOH play this week makes him a great goat to take to the end. What a dilemma for April and Ollie!! Do they vote for the cunt that sent them out of the game, or do they vote for the guy who double crossed them and sent the rest of them out of the game? Good times.

Peace Out.

LK, I thought so until I watched her HOH nomination episode. I really despise her, I really do, as a person. But I truly think she is this conniving. She carefully vetted the people who have been loyal to her in the game. She uses them until they are of no use to her anymore and then someone else gets the blame for the blood. She is very crafty. She has the dumb blonde act down.

smoochies, thanks :)

James, you do a great analysis of this game. I always appreciate your contributions. Between all of us, we usually get it right here at sucks.

Watching that earlier episode has also brought out how much Dan has mor.phed in this game. He went from a useless wimp to what we are seeing now. I think we are seeing more the real Dan now, than what he protrayed earlier in the game. I think he played this hapless geek at the beginning just to buy time to get burrowed into the game.

I watched the Michelle discussion with Dan up in the HOH from an hour ago on that link above that dougan provided. Ollie and Michelle deserve to get booted with how stupid they played this week. Michelle pretty much was pulling shit out of her ass to Dan tonite and telling such outlandish lies that she pretty much guaranteed she was going to go up on the block Monday, if there had even been a niggle of doubt in Dan's mind who to pick. If Michelle or Ollie had any awareness in the game, they would have figured out by now that Keesha and Dan are pretty much locked in together and trying to put that wedge there was just futile.