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After watching the "Joel's Master Plan" video on cbs.com, I definitely think he's the smartest of all fans, and I predict he'll be around until the merge. The second he loses an individual IC, the faves will have him out of there faster than Ozzy jumped into Amanda's mouth (Which by the way we got about 2 seconds of footage of that) since I think the faves will out-win the fans. I think a tribal shuffle this season would do nothing but ruin it.

Anyway, about Mikey B, I hope he's smart enough to align himself and Jason with the 3 "outcasts", in which case I think Joel is the dumbest player ever (and that may be the blunder JP was talking about that was worse than James's), but Jason probably won't go along with an alliance with Kathy/Chet, which would also be suicidal.