S-16 Edgic (editing and logic)

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astroline		#4361	[-]
Posts: 1128 (05/03/08 11:40 AM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Why has there been so few ratings posted this week? Anyway, here's my final ratings. Dabu Alexis - MOR3 Amanda - CPP5 (debated a PP) Cirie - CP3 Erik - MORN2 (being called a "traitor" is never positive) James - MORP3 Natalie - UTR2 Parvati - CPP3 (was shown crying for James, that's P) Winners... 1. Parvati 2. Cirie -huge gap- 3. Amanda
cyclehausen		#4362	[-]
Posts: 4303 (05/03/08 11:53 AM) Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	You know, that's a good point - if Amanda does win then it won't discount edgic. The only back-to-back season comparison we have is Rupert, and he was out early jury in PI, AND he was a huge fan favorite. His edit in the following season was not soft for a reason. Amanda is a different kind of player and if she does win, the soft early edit makes sense based on how much of her we got in China. Interesting...
ProbstFan123		#4363	[-]
Posts: 10044 (05/03/08 11:57 AM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	If Amanda wins, it would discount edgic - at least in seasons with returning players. The excuse with Amber was that they had to show why Rob lost. The excuse with Danni was that they had to show why Steph lost (and that Danni kept most of her strategizing off-camera). So now the excuse with Amanda is that she was on back-to-back seasons? Too many excuses.
Relynn		#4364	[-]
Posts: 442 (05/03/08 12:50 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	ProbstFan123 wrote: If Amanda wins, it would discount edgic - at least in seasons with returning players. The excuse with Amber was that they had to show why Rob lost. The excuse with Danni was that they had to show why Steph lost (and that Danni kept most of her strategizing off-camera). So now the excuse with Amanda is that she was on back-to-back seasons? Too many excuses. Maybe the excuse is sometimes the show wants to surprise people with a surprise winner. Perhaps also the more "dominant player" does thinsg that cause them to lose. Such as the case with Steph/Rob etc. And Amanda is probably a more "Danni" like player.
SFC		#4365	[-]
Posts: 294 (05/03/08 12:56 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Relynn wrote: ProbstFan123 wrote: If Amanda wins, it would discount edgic - at least in seasons with returning players. The excuse with Amber was that they had to show why Rob lost. The excuse with Danni was that they had to show why Steph lost (and that Danni kept most of her strategizing off-camera). So now the excuse with Amanda is that she was on back-to-back seasons? Too many excuses. Maybe the excuse is sometimes the show wants to surprise people with a surprise winner. Perhaps also the more "dominant player" does thinsg that cause them to lose. Such as the case with Steph/Rob etc. And Amanda is probably a more "Danni" like player. No I'd say Amanda is more of a "Denise" like player, she had basically no story pre merge and suffers INV's (I called her INV in Ep 1 and 4). But once the merge starts she starts getting the numbers to be a contender, but her bad early episodes discount that.
McPhever224		#4366	[-]
Posts: 88 (05/03/08 2:13 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Relynn wrote: ProbstFan123 wrote: If Amanda wins, it would discount edgic - at least in seasons with returning players. The excuse with Amber was that they had to show why Rob lost. The excuse with Danni was that they had to show why Steph lost (and that Danni kept most of her strategizing off-camera). So now the excuse with Amanda is that she was on back-to-back seasons? Too many excuses. Maybe the excuse is sometimes the show wants to surprise people with a surprise winner. Perhaps also the more "dominant player" does thinsg that cause them to lose. Such as the case with Steph/Rob etc. And Amanda is probably a more "Danni" like player. But to the casual viewer an Amanda win would not be shocking at all.
Relynn		#4367	[-]
Posts: 444 (05/03/08 2:39 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	No I'd say Amanda is more of a "Denise" like player, she had basically no story pre merge and suffers INV's (I called her INV in Ep 1 and 4). But once the merge starts she starts getting the numbers to be a contender, but her bad early episodes discount that. Amanda was shown a LOT after she caught the shark, and there was the whole, will she betray Ozzy. them pre merge,... And she had that scene with Ozzy in Episode 1. She's definetly UTR, but invisible not really. If Amanda was invisible that episode, than Parv had a couple of invisible episodes as well.
ProbstFan123		#4368	[-]
Posts: 10046 (05/03/08 3:11 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Maybe the excuse is sometimes the show wants to surprise people with a surprise winner. That's all well and good. But a surprise winner means an edgic failure. Edgic is about cutting through the surprises and misdirections to try to pick out the winner. A "surprise winner" means a Mark Burnett victory. Like I said before, this season will either be a huge victory for edgic if Parvati or Cirie wins. Or a failure if Amanda/Erik/Natalie wins. There's really no middle ground. That's what makes it fun, though. I like people who are bold when doing edgic. No wishy-washy predictions at this late stage of the season: "Well, Parvati looks good. But so does Cirie. And we can't totally discount Amanda because she was on last season and could be getting a unique edit. And Natalie could be a surprise winner..." What's the point in doing that? Make a prediction, and if it's wrong it's wrong. But if it's right then at least you get the bragging rights and can gloat in the off-season.
I LUV TIJUANA		#4369	[-]
Posts: 8989 (05/03/08 3:22 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Alexis- MORP3 Amanda- CPP5 Cirie- CP3 Erik- MORN2 James- MORP3 Natalie- UTR2 Parvati- MOR3
SFC		#4370	[-]
Posts: 295 (05/03/08 3:23 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Relynn wrote: No I'd say Amanda is more of a "Denise" like player, she had basically no story pre merge and suffers INV's (I called her INV in Ep 1 and 4). But once the merge starts she starts getting the numbers to be a contender, but her bad early episodes discount that. Amanda was shown a LOT after she caught the shark, and there was the whole, will she betray Ozzy. them pre merge,... And she had that scene with Ozzy in Episode 1. She's definetly UTR, but invisible not really. If Amanda was invisible that episode, than Parv had a couple of invisible episodes as well. Yes after she caught the shark she started getting more visibility but they all had little complexity MORP, MOR,MOR,MOR, every single one of those episodes she went to Tribal Council, everyone except Joel and Chet, who were the first 2 gone got at least 1 CP. Tracy and Erik had 1, Ami had 3, and Ozzy/Cirie had 2. Amanda is the only New Malakal Member to make the merge to not have a CP ~~after the switch~~ AT ALL, her first one was in Episode 11. Also Amanda's First 4 Episode Rankings were UTR1, UTRN2, UTR2, and INV1, No winner has ever started out with 4 UTR episodes the closest is Amber with 2, and by this point in the Season she had 4 CP's. Amanda isn't winning this season. Any talk of her being a contender is poppycock. She was 100% Eliminated in Episode 1.
ProbstFan123		#4371	[-]
Posts: 10048 (05/03/08 3:29 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Also Amanda's First 4 Episode Rankings were UTR1, UTRN2, UTR2, and INV1, No winner has ever started out with 4 UTR episodes the closest is Amber with 2, and by this point in the Season she had 4 CP's. Amanda isn't winning this season. Any talk of her being a contender is poppycock. She was 100% Eliminated in Episode 1. 100% agreeance. If her pathetic first episode didn't eliminate her (which it should have), her subsequent 2 UTR episodes and then an INV episode certainly did.
TheIsraeliDevil	Amanda?	#4372	[-]
Posts: 2124 (05/03/08 3:49 PM) Registered User Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Enough about Amanda. She was great this episode, but clearly Parvati wins. I'm as convinced as I ever was in 6 seasons of doing Edgic.
SFC		#4373	[-]
Posts: 296 (05/03/08 3:59 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	TheIsraeliDevil wrote: Enough about Amanda. She was great this episode, but clearly Parvati wins. I'm as convinced as I ever was in 6 seasons of doing Edgic. X
craig		#4374	[-]
Posts: 12988 (05/03/08 4:23 PM) Registered User Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	People talk about how Cirie was out of the loop, but in the Survivor Insider clips on CBS.com (not spoilers!) show what people say when they vote. Cirie, while casting a vote for Amanda, said, "We both know this is just going through the motions. This doesn't mean anything. All part of the plan." Cirie being edited as out of the loop is bad for her winner's chances. The edited Cirie looked like Denise afraid to face a tie while Team Parmanda were heroic. The real Cirie is sharper than that. Also Cirie had a brilliant move using her last chop to eliminate Amanda. A grateful Alexis takes Cirie on reward leaving Amanda to be exiled and get the idol for the Faves. If Amandas had won reward, there is a good chance Natalie would have been exiled, found the idol, and the Faves would be history. Unless Amanda is sharp enough to exile Parvati. Yet Cirie gets no stategic comments on her reward trip with the fans. Parvati was CPP3 this week because: James and Amanda were P. She cried for James' exit. Her loyalty to Amanda was emphasized, her "little sister." She covered for Amanda with a story while Amanda found the idol. Also also was good-humoured about being knocked out of the RC first. Making Amanda super-P with all those "she's so likeable, nobody can beat her" comments is a great way to create doubt for Parv while allowing her to be P also. The Editors LOVED the Fave women vanquishing the boring Fan girls, and gave them a corresponding P edit. Last Edited By: craig 05/03/08 4:25 PM. Edited 1 times.
Jedijake		#4375	[-]
Posts: 5120 (05/03/08 4:58 PM) MESS member Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	To me, when the players vote for Parvati as being the *person who is under the false impression that they are running the game,* that is VERY telling of the sentiment. If Parvati is under the false assumption, then who is seen as TRULY running the game? Did Cirie really know about the plan? If so, she kept the votes away from herself, that's for sure. I'm thinking that we are not supposed to truly be told straight up who is believed to really be running things, unlike the last 3 seasons. A combination of decent editing, back and forth strategy, and still being hidden enough leads me to still believe that Cirie wins. Although I find myself suddenly rooting for Amanda. Fat chance though, but she's at least been a little more interesting than last season lately. Winner picks: 1. *Cirie-still my #1 pick 2. Amanda-suddenly jumps to #2 3. Parvati-are we being made to believe the jury won't vote for her too much? Editing is one thing and points to either Cirie or Parvati. However, jury sentiments seem to point to Amanda the most and Parvati the least, with Cirie as a huge unknown. Nat and Tommy Shaw don't have a chance. Cirie being edited as out of the loop is bad for her winner's chances. The edited Cirie looked like Denise afraid to face a tie while Team Parmanda were heroic. The real Cirie is sharper than that.* Not if they justify the move next week. If they somehow show us that Cirie was not out of the loop and she was hidden for purposes of suspense, then it makes sense. Last Edited By: Jedijake 05/03/08 5:01 PM. Edited 1 times.
Kitty Pryde1		#4376	[-]
Posts: 3941 (05/03/08 5:03 PM) Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Jedi, this episode was BRUTAL for Cirie's chances. She wasn't shown as being in the loop for the idol blindsiding, even though she was happy about it, and apparently knew about it, going by her final words. She got the comment from Parvati when Cirie chopped her rope about Parvati remembering her or getting her back. She had the confessional on the reward about no longer being afraid or paranoid, which could be setting her up for a blindside.
Werwanderflugen		#4377	[-]
Posts: 120 (05/03/08 5:03 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	Winner picks: 1. *Cirie-still my #1 pick Hmm. 2. Amanda-suddenly jumps to #2 UTR1, UTRN2, UTR2, INV. No way in hell should she be on anyone's list, as far as edgic goes. 3. Parvati*-are we being made to believe the jury won't vote for her too much? Yes. That's good editing!
Katy Carney		#4378	[-]
Posts: 1039 (05/03/08 5:03 PM) Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	I can't believe people are pulling this "ZOMG Amanda" shit AGAIN. In back to back seasons no less.
ProbstFan123		#4379	[-]
Posts: 10051 (05/03/08 5:07 PM) Registered user Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	I can't believe people are pulling this "ZOMG Amanda" shit AGAIN. In back to back seasons no less. It means the editors are doing their jobs getting people to fall for the misdirection again. Amanda's super positive episode reminds me of Natalie's NN episode. In both cases Parvati ended up looking golden - not too negative in the post-Ozzy boot episode, and not too over-the-top positive this week. Right in the middle, which is a good place to be.
colleenlover		#4380	[-]
Posts: 8097 (05/03/08 5:59 PM) Registered User Reply Quote More Recent Posts Message Connection Block Invite	It's still Cirie or Parvati, but I'm giving the edge to Parvati. There doesn't seem to be much hubris with her, only the reinforcement that she is going to face heat from the jury. If she were presented as cocky, then she'd be toast -instead it's the opposite. I say the big deciding vote is from Eliza and that's why they had the parvati/eliza show. If she loses, it is also based on Eliza's vote -it's all about the "I don't want to get snaked by Eliza IN THE END."

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S-16 Edgic (editing and logic)

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