Cirie believes that either Amanda or Catalie will get the majority of the votes, but she isn't 100% which oneWhy wouldnt the answer to that be whomever Cirie and Erik decide to vote for? You'd have to think if Erik wins immunity, those two would then be the biggest targets and would vote for each other. So Amanda would go next if Cirie, Erik and Natalie all voted for her, and they wouldnt need to use an idol to blindside someone.
And you'd have to think that they would all ask if there's another idol in play, particularly if someone goes to exile. Even the girls would ask because if thee isnt an idol in play somewhere, then they wouldnt worry about sending Erik.
And even if all of that did happen....I still dont think that would be as dumb as James not playing one of his 2 idols. In this scenario (if everything were to work out exactly as you said), Erik wouldnt be a complete moron to look at Ozzy's old idol and believe it to be an actual one......although he would be dumb not to ask the crew/produces if it was in play before he made the move (and I think they should be obligated to tell him, particularly if it hadnt been officially stated that Ozzy's old HII was out of play or that a new idol had been introduced to the game after Amanda played the last one.)
I can see this working out a bit better if Cirie (or any girl for that matter) finds both Ozzy's old idol AND gets ahold of the new HII on Exile. Then it would be a lot easier to convince Erik, or anyone, that an old and out of play idol is actually in play. Even then, I wouldnt consider Erik taking that deal to be the dumbest move ever...I think he'd be more a victim of a brilliant move on someone elses part, and the crew/producers not removing and unusable idol from the game once it expired. I'd actually feel bad for Erik if all this happened rather than laugh at him for being a complete dumbass.
