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island sun wrote:

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Here's one: What if Maraamu won the last Pre-Merge IC and Gina (!!!) would've been saved?

I think it is safe to say that Rob would have been the victim at Rotu since John was tiring quickly of his act.

A lot depends then upon who the ambassador is for Rotu in his place. I'd assume Kathy would still be the ambassador for Maraamu. If it is Sean, then I think he'd still clue Kathy in to what is going on with the alliance, but would he be as skillful as Rob in making Kathy paranoid? Vee seems unlikely to volunteer for such a post so I think the next most likely alternative would be Tammy. If she goes, then I think Kathy is told what she wants to hear.

At the merge, just about everyone will be willing to vote against Sean. Gina is seeking revenge for Hunter's boot so she certainly isn't going to make a move to save him - she'd be trying instead to build up her relationship with Neleh, Paschal and Kathy. Vee would still be trying to secure a spot with the Rotu 4. The keys are Sean and Kathy, but I don't think history repeats in the same way. Sean goes, unanimously.

With Sean gone, Vee's position loses much of its flexibility. Gina will certainly be trying to convince the original Rotus to vote her out next, and Vee's only protection would be with the Rotu 4. Vee actually was pretty friendly with Tammy, and at this point, she does represent the fifth vote that gives the Rotu 4 a majority. Zoe's relationship with Kathy marks another interesting issue since Zoe could potentially flip to join the New Maraamus, but as long as the Rotu 4 alliance looks likely to hold, I think she stays put. The coconut challenge probably wouldn't be as big of an issue since there would be no target like Sean to focus its nature. Vee and Gina would probably be the first two out. John's abrasiveness as leader probably gets himself cut early too. And it would probably end up with Tammy winning again. Neleh and Paschal might still get upset about getting taken out early, but there's no real alternate play this time around. It comes down to Vee v. Gina, but the Rotu 4 holds to vote out Gina.

Neleh and Paschal would certainly expect Vee to leave next as she is the only original Maraamu left. Kathy would be trying to convince Zoe to join with her to help do so. Zoe wavers, especially when Kathy is the target. When Neleh is offered as the target instead, Zoe bites, and Neleh leaves 5 - 3.

At F7, Zoe's wavering gets on John's paranoid nerves. Since Zoe is seen as a bigger immunity threat than either Kathy or Paschal, the others in the alliance target her instead, which Vee is only too willing to go along with.

At F6, Vee wins immunity as she did in real life. Knowing she can't break up the remaining three, she offers to vote with Paschal and Kathy. They take down John as Tammy and Robert aren't willing to force the tie.

At F5, Kathy wins immunity and sticks to her agreement with Vee. They vote out Tammy as the bigger threat.

At F4, Vee wins immunity, and Robert is voted out.

At F3, Paschal collapses and has to be removed.

Kathy swamps Vee in front of the jury.