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First off, happy holiday or time off of your choice all!!!!!

Thanks, PD. I just applied the best knowledge I could. Since I won't see my kids until Wed or Thurs (Then I have a week with them to celebrate daddy's Christmas) I feel like staying up late and just not caring about anything right now. So I did a little re-reading of this thread, and I'd like to offer a few thoughts. We've had recent discussion about guideline changes, and this is some of my opinion about that and about how the season progressed.

First - I'm not naming names, not important, but here are some quotes taken from different rating posts throughout this season up to the merge. This may get long, so I'll post it and then post analysis afterward.

Following Episode 1
"I'm not buying Todd having the winning edit. His edit was definitely thrown to us on purpose, but it was all about strategy and all about him and Jean-Robert being the gamers of the tribe. It wasn't setting Todd up as a winner, it was setting him up as the big strategic player of the season."
"That segment between Todd and J-R was too random to be meaningless. I think these two will go far as enemies or surprinsingly enough, buddies. James also had a "in for the long haul" edit."
"I'm still trying to figure out if PG's comments about her grandpa was a hint that she goes far or if it was just irrelevant."
"Amanda: Had a confessional about how Aaron and James were strong, and that's about it. Couldn't pick her out of a line-up at this point."
"Todd - The scenes with Jean-Robert and setting up Aaron as the leader developed him pretty well. I would assume he'll be around for quite awhile, but I doubt he'll win. He just seems like a distraction waiting to happen."
"I think Todd is the strategic distraction. His edit was ALL about strategy, even when Jean-Robert asked about him being a flight attendant, it was only to set up that scene of...strategy. I just don't see him being the winner."
"Amanda - Her confessional came before they left for camp. She said that James and Aaron are powerhouses and that they will do good in challenges. She had a very similar edit to Danni's edit except Danni went to TC and got a question."
"Todd is completely a distraction. On the Edgic level, Todd's a contender. Logically, he's got no shot. He's the gamer of the season, and he'll go far, but he won't win. "

Following Episode 2
"I know people are getting annoyed with people over-analyzing Amanda's edit but, Amanda SCREAMS Danni to me."
"Amanda--lots of reaction shots, a good example of how visibility is more than just speeches"
"The unnecessary turns of phrase are definite flags. That she may otherwise be in the background, while Todd makes most of the noise is another plus for her. But, are we seeing too much game too early for a winner. That she is quieter than Todd and still CP is another plus for Amanda."
"Disappearing after being shown her new, clarified position is very good for Peih Gee. She is on the non-Complex tribe, but that is a fluid guideline."
"Trying to compare Danni to Amanda simply doesn't fly. Danni's edit was so skimpy, that I was more than a little suspicious of those pushing her win then, (ahem!), and not too thrilled to see her being used for a winner template now. "
"I do believe that we're gonna have a UTRP/MORP winner though."
"Even though I think Todd is already OTT in a terry-like way, his complexity is good. he's negative overall for me, but that's ok. No one else has a better edit than he does so far. He's connected to the themes, especially the art of war."
"Amanda was CP this episode, it screamed to me while I was watching"
"Todd - Will he continue to be a complex distraction without cool-off or will they tend to his edit carefully like Earl and Yul? For Edgic's sake I hope he doesn't win, but, with so many unique contenders I think it's too early to make the call that he's a shoe-in. As of now, he is."
"consider Amanda a strong winner candidate. Pre-show, she was an attractive, outdoorsy, fan of the game, and therefore the immediate female winner pick, a gender that many of us would like to finally see win again after the past few seasons. Her Episode 1 edit was not only incredibly reminiscent of Danni (her first confessional was almost identical to Danni's), but it fit with the lack of any strong male winner edit, something that we've had for the past few seasons and which was mysteriously absent here."
"Todd- I'm sorry but I'm soooooooo over his edit already. OK I get it, he's smart, he's sharp, he's witty, he's smart and witty, and he's devious too! TOTAL distraction and it's only episode 2… "

Following Episode 3
"Todd - CPP4. Too far out there on the strategy front. He's the distraction, not the winner."
"Todd is doing all the right things for an Edgic front runner. And that's his biggest problem. "
"Amanda was on hold this ep. She is well placed, but still a little underdeveloped (edit-wise, Lol). That's not necessarily a bad thing at all."
"Todd's content may look great, but he has too much of it too soon, he needs to shut up now for an episode or two"
"Amanda - Typically I'd say she's just too neglected to win but something about last episode really made her memorable, and I think if she brings it back sometime within the next 2 episodes she could be back in it."
"I'm all for an unexpected winner. I want some fun this season!"

Following Episode 4
"Todd - If I'm wrong, then the editors pulled another fast one and we can chalk it up to an unorthodox edit. But unorthodox edits are not what we look for in Edgic."
"Amanda - Nice looking girl, but I'm still not seeing what some of you are in her edit, especially first episode."
"At this point my winner pick is going with Todd, despite every bone in my body wanting to not have a steady out front season long strategist winner. I think Amanda's had two very sub-part edgic episodes (1 & 4) ... not enough to eliminate her completely ..."
"Amanda - Right now it's enough that she has a little complexity combined with a little P."
"Peih-Gee -She's still in it, but I really wish she'd get a big positive episode to stay alive."
"PG had a quiet episode, but interestingly and quite intentionally, the editors put the "end-gamish" statement she made regarding the need to mark the days."

Following Episode 5
"It looks like most people on the Todd bandwagon are trying to substantiate their Todd pick by overrating his rating."
"People have been doing it to Amanda, to be honest."
"god it is todd, isn't it. it's just so obvious i don't want it to be true."
"Maybe next week I will just vote for Todd and we can all sign off and meet back here in December."
"if Todd wins this you might as well stick a fork in Survivor because it is DONE!"
"I see Todd's flaws. He's a bit too strategic, a bit too in-your-face (which Earl was WAY more that way last season). But even if he's not a perfect Edgic fit, he's 100x better than Amanda, who has no story and no substance other than the occasional "reaction shot" which you can find for any player. "
"Todd: -- very slight P for the 5th straight episode"
"Todd finally overcame PG this episode. I think the obvious winner wins this time again "
"This was a mixed episode for Todd in my opinion, on one hand he sort of got a cool down he needed, but on the other hand he proved what a distraction he was."
"There is nothing in Todd's edit that eliminates him nor is there anything in Amanda's edit that eliminates either."
"This season's highly visible bootees taking up so much of the story the "real story" hasn't even started to unravel yet."

Michael